Core of low-pressure system over east-central Arabian Sea appeared to sit closer to Konkan-Goa coast on Friday morning as global models suggest said the system may have shifted track to look for cross-over into land.
| Photo Credit:
www.meteologix.com/in
The low-pressure area over east-central Arabian Sea off south Konkan-Goa coasts has become ‘well-marked,’ a step away from being categorised as a depression, but the India Meteorological Department (IMD) delayed its intensification by another day.
This is because, unlike earlier, a shift in track would likely keep the well-marked ‘low’ close to Konkan-Mumbai, and could even lead to landfall along this stretch of west coast, say global models. IMD’s numerical models appeared to concur with this outlook. This would effectively cut off moisture supply, fuel needed for further intensification, sending the system astray over land.
A high-pressure area over Arabian Gulf and an approaching western disturbance are seen as forcing the shift in track of system Otherwise, it enjoyed favourable conditions in elevated sea-surface temperatures of 30-31℃ and tolerable vertical wind profile.
A moisture-laden trough runs from cyclonic circulation associated with the well marked ’low’ over east-central Arabian Sea off south Konkan coast towards land over south Chhattisgarh across south Madhya Maharashtra, south Marathwada, and north Telangana. The ‘low’ could likely benefit from moisture being fanned into it from both Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal.
Global models are now signalling an eastward track into interior Maharashtra, while not entirely ruling out a return back to the sea. While chances of intensification of depression are lower in short-term, they do not entirely rule out the possibility either.
Conditions may become favourable for monsoon onset over Kerala by Saturday/Sunday, and its advance to more parts of south Arabian Sea; remaining Maldives and Comorin; parts of Lakshadweep; Kerala; Karnataka; more parts of south, central and north Bay of Bengal, parts of North-Eastern states, the IMD said on Friday morning.
The IMD has maintained a watch for low-pressure area spinning over west-central and adjoining northern Bay of Bengal within the next 3-4 days (around May 27). This is expected to ramp up the Bay arm of the monsoon current to East-Central India and parts of North-West India.
Meanwhile, unlike the previous day, rainfall activity was muted along Karnataka-Goa coast, with low-pressure system located some distance away. Rainfall recorded until 5.30 pm on Thursday were Ratnagiri-5 cm; Karwar-4 cm; and Panjim and Honavar-3 cm each. On Friday morning, the well-marked ‘low’ was located close to Ratnagiri coast on West Maharashtra coast.
Published on May 23, 2025
Core of low-pressure system over east-central Arabian Sea appeared to sit closer to Konkan-Goa coast on Friday morning as global models suggest said the system may have shifted track to look for cross-over into land.
| Photo Credit:
www.meteologix.com/in
The low-pressure area over east-central Arabian Sea off south Konkan-Goa coasts has become ‘well-marked,’ a step away from being categorised as a depression, but the India Meteorological Department (IMD) delayed its intensification by another day.
This is because, unlike earlier, a shift in track would likely keep the well-marked ‘low’ close to Konkan-Mumbai, and could even lead to landfall along this stretch of west coast, say global models. IMD’s numerical models appeared to concur with this outlook. This would effectively cut off moisture supply, fuel needed for further intensification, sending the system astray over land.
A high-pressure area over Arabian Gulf and an approaching western disturbance are seen as forcing the shift in track of system Otherwise, it enjoyed favourable conditions in elevated sea-surface temperatures of 30-31℃ and tolerable vertical wind profile.
A moisture-laden trough runs from cyclonic circulation associated with the well marked ’low’ over east-central Arabian Sea off south Konkan coast towards land over south Chhattisgarh across south Madhya Maharashtra, south Marathwada, and north Telangana. The ‘low’ could likely benefit from moisture being fanned into it from both Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal.
Global models are now signalling an eastward track into interior Maharashtra, while not entirely ruling out a return back to the sea. While chances of intensification of depression are lower in short-term, they do not entirely rule out the possibility either.
Conditions may become favourable for monsoon onset over Kerala by Saturday/Sunday, and its advance to more parts of south Arabian Sea; remaining Maldives and Comorin; parts of Lakshadweep; Kerala; Karnataka; more parts of south, central and north Bay of Bengal, parts of North-Eastern states, the IMD said on Friday morning.
The IMD has maintained a watch for low-pressure area spinning over west-central and adjoining northern Bay of Bengal within the next 3-4 days (around May 27). This is expected to ramp up the Bay arm of the monsoon current to East-Central India and parts of North-West India.
Meanwhile, unlike the previous day, rainfall activity was muted along Karnataka-Goa coast, with low-pressure system located some distance away. Rainfall recorded until 5.30 pm on Thursday were Ratnagiri-5 cm; Karwar-4 cm; and Panjim and Honavar-3 cm each. On Friday morning, the well-marked ‘low’ was located close to Ratnagiri coast on West Maharashtra coast.
Published on May 23, 2025
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It is a long established fact that a reader will be distracted by the readable content of a page when looking at its layout. The point of using Lorem Ipsum is that it has a more-or-less normal distribution
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